.THERE IS ACTUALLY bit uncertainty concerning the likely victor of Britain's basic political election on July fourth: along with a lead of twenty percent factors in nationwide viewpoint polls, the Work Party is actually incredibly most likely to gain. Yet there is anxiety regarding the dimension of Labour's large number in Britain's 650-seat Residence of Commons. Some polling companies have posted seat prophecies using an unfamiliar procedure called multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP). What are these polls-- and exactly how accurate are they?